It should be a Contrarian win the Horse Racing!

Receive a hell of a lot more fun when you win. The public views that anyone betting horse racing as a gambler translation for "loser". In my early success Computer Group, I have never considered myself a gambler or a loser.

The racing should be approached with the mindset of a stock market analyst. If you look at it any other way, it's just a compulsive gambler. (Sorry if I offended anyone, but you have to keep it real) Racing is a new financial market is slowly catching up with the rest of the world.

The invention is a peer-to-peer betting exchange, competition can be attacked, conquered and thoroughly beaten. computer programs we use advanced algorithms still have a distinct advantage to the public. We are not talking about the software you buy £ 49.95 online, but protected database run by the main frame computers.

think about the BOX, the Contrarian

beat the bookies and flog the public, it will "think out of the box" and do the opposite of what the do. This can only be achieved contrarian thinking. Instead of betting on horses to win than the other cattle, will stand against a bookmaker and win public opinion by horses. If you are a newbie all this, let me quickly explain that in any case, even the horse's back, which means that the betting to win. In contrast, I take a contrarian position against, which means from the horse loses.

when reversing, you bet 10 to win 50. I choose to be on the other side of the putting up £ 50 to win 10. Sound crazy. I ask you to just risking a lot to win a little. Do not leave just yet we are only just begun. Think about it, every losing bet horses to win friends who year after year. Had retired and living on a golf course, an offshore paradise like me? Or do you prefer to borrow money every week until payday.

Las Vegas Casinos and bookmakers warmly welcome all comers to receive whatever they wish to race horses. Look on the internet, there are hundreds of casinos give you a bonus if you promise to lose money with them. Maybe these casinos and bookies something. Bookmakers are successful because they understand the mathematical odds racing and sports betting. What began in 1979 and spent years learning the exact math, what is a loser. Most people can not figure out a system that is foolproof and mathematically correct. Math geniuses are few and far between.

Let's look at this statement a little closer. You are in a position to David verses Goliath when backing a horse to win. To win, the absolute need to go all the way. It should be left to the trainer. He has been placed in accordance with the horses to compete with your friends. (Of course, other friends of horses that he can defeat) Furthermore, the jockey must be a perfect circle. Do not move that soon, you do not get off, do not go too fast, he's a rookie. Oh, and do not go too slow, or move late, and the most important. It does not fall down.

should work for you to gather with the horse. You should feel like running today. Those blinders new language or relationships should work. What about the deep muddy track, or the artificial surface, it is still running fine before? He can not become spooked the new track surface, which is new to him. There are a million more little tidbits, which is separate from the money.

Let us look at the Lay sides of the same event. I decided to defect to the side of the casinos and bookies. I would bet that the horse will not win, I will lose him on. Last I looked, they were very nice to build some casinos that kind of thinking. And the good news is, you can be everything goes well. You only need one thing to go wrong. I also have a huge bonus. There is every horse running in the race for me. So the race of 15 runners, cheering me on any 14 of them to win. If you've been backing horses and go home a loser, maybe it's time to switch teams and start on horses.

I want to retire ask Racing make me rich?

The Internet is full of countless computer programs, systems, books and manuals that supposedly gives you a chance to retire. Most of the money, and you get little more than empty promises in return. These programs are not terrible, not only sophisticated enough to give you the edge needed to qualify to be competitive, it must be combined with the latest technology in mathematics and meticulous records.

Can this be achieved by hand or on your home computer, you ask? Of course, but you will need Santa & # 39; s little helpers working to enter all the data. Also, make sure you use computers artificial intelligence. In other words, the computer learns every day the results and improve the program, if necessary. No program is guaranteed to work in the future. Racing is a constant evolution and change. It's important to stay ahead of the rule changes, the track bias, weather, etc., or it has been absorbed change.

how to select process works

Remember the lay However, we need to adopt a strategy to evaluate a reversal in horses and racing conditions. It is necessary to analyze whether the horse performs the existing track conditions. You need to take a look at the shape of the race. There is a lot of speed in today's race? The fact that the court should place your horse jockey?

Many people think that there is a system, only to discover that it does not work all the time. Implement a successful program or system to work all the numbers that every type of racing, at any time of the year.

If you are under the system, we must resist chasing losses. This only leads to stupid decisions, and that of course is never good. Remember, I'm scared money "never wins. " LIVE figures and forgot to human emotion.

We are good at what we do because every method is 100% mechanical and subject to human emotions. More than 100,000 species went into the Matrix profile to find out what makes a loser. This is the most important line in this article. You have to take emotion out of the equation handicapping, unless of course if a HAL 9000 computer. You can only win strictly confident and subsequent numbers.

What are you trying to achieve?

before

planning should outline the objectives of the system or method. Mine is very simple, but the goal of achieving in a few years.

1. Design a method that works everywhere. (All tracks, weather conditions, class, artificial surface, grass, kind of competition, maiden, stakes, claiming, etc.)

2.Design a method that can operate robots reception. The only thing you should stick to sort out the odds. (Bet Betfair Only horses 9.9 or less) There are those who are not financially able to stay home and sit on the computer.

3.Maintain achieve consistent results throughout the year, without a long losing streaks.

How to Build a lay SYSTEM

After our database of more than 100,000 species was in place, I had to decide what was important. To be successful on horses, we need to profile a loser. What were the most important qualities that are losing share in most horses? All events are independent of each other. First, you need to compare all the entries, while the points allocation and deduction of past results. Not only do we need a profile of losing, we also need to profile who stands the best chance of winning.

I like the simple point of view, assign each horse a percentage chance of winning the race

Example Race:

= Horse of 75.00% chance of winning – 25.00% chance of losing

Horse B = 66.66% chance of winning – 33.33% chance of losing

Horse C = 58.33% chance of winning – 41.67% chance of losing

Log D = 55.60% chance of winning – 44.40% chance of losing

Horse E = 38.90% chance of winning – 61.11% chance of losing

F = 30 horses 60% chance of winning – 69.40% odds loss

Horse G = 27.80% chance of winning – 72.22% chance of losing

Horse H = 11.11% chance of winning – 88.88% odds loss

Log I = 8.33% chance of winning – 91.67% loss of chance

Look at the raw data, above the horses is the smallest chance of winning the race. Where do you want to lay horses? The answer lay in the horse "H" and the horse is "I"? If so, then sit in the corner and put a dunce cap. This is just one part of the equation. You need to know what the final Betfair will have the chance to make this decision.

Horse Selection "I", only 8% gain. So this means that if Lay Selections "I" can collect 92% of the time. Still sounds pretty good, it is a system where you win 92% of the time. But what are the odds Betfair? If this horse is going to take the 150.0-1, it will be big trouble. First of all, I will never have an interest in horses 150-1 when the royal family treasury. To win 100, you need to make sure that there are 15,000 trading account to cover the days when he did not win.

Continuing the example, if you only lost once in every hundred species, but the planned eight times (8%), it is still a negative 5800.

You have to look a decent win, and decide on the the maximum amount you want to risk. Do not forget, the audience is always the indicator will win, so the lower the odds, the greater the chance of a horse winning. That is why many people will never lay a horse during three or four to one.

My horses are comfortable on Betfair 9.9 or less. This means that the selection can be defined in the 9-1 or less. (If you are not familiar with Betfair a chance, you can add an additional 1.0 brought every chance that the amount of the wager)

My rough strike rate of around 83%, plus or minus 2% percentage. Here's a simple example. If you need detailed 100 race, we will win in 8300 was 83% fixed strike price. Let's look at the last election of 20,000, the average price losers lay Betfair was 5:31. I expect to lose 17% of the time. Calculation drop of 100 races, I expect to lose 7327th (It & # 39; s odds 4.31 X 17 = Losers 7327). Thus, the profit of more than 100 choices include 973%, or 9.73 percent.

The secret is that if you turn over your bankroll as many times as possible each month. Use my choice raw, I mean raw data plays a 650-700 per month. Which means you can turn to the bank for more than thirty six or seven times a day and switch to 973 more. These numbers are not bad, considering the Bank of England with only 1.7% when deducting 3% inflation.

The secret to doubling of profits

The next secret is to double the stakes are low odd choice. As I mentioned, because the market is made up of reviews of the pool, the lower the odds, the greater the chance of a horse winning. The election will go down 3-1 or less (4.0 Betfair) still show a 77% strike rate. Not as good as the standard 84%, but significantly smaller portion of your bankroll at risk all bets. Double risking short-cost option to increase the bottom line. If you lose 100 team, which is 6.0, the loss will be 200 500. If you lose your team, which is 3.5 loss for 500. But what big bonus here. 3.5 When you win, Betfair, and you win 77% of the time, you collect twice the normal words or 200

[1945901million]

This is not overnight "get rich scheme." This is a solid step progression where your bankroll grow a very steady pace. To make each unit bet the same amount, except for the double-post bet unit time Betfair odds 4.0 or less. Start small and comfortable risking the unit.

You should have 40-80 units before starting bankroll. If we want to win 10 per race, you must put aside 400 800. If you start from the level of 100, compared to 8000. 4000 should not increase the unit until it has been at least half a starting bankroll. When you raise the stakes are appropriate only increases the stakes from 10% to 20%. Slowly, and there will be a pig. Remember, "Pigs get fat, but Hogs get slaughtered".

may be able to improve my rating crude and increase the strike rate of the system on their own. Or step up to the strike price, thus eliminating the losers, it will fatten the bottom line.

time to apply some filters

I literally thousands of small filter the database that I can be applied to improve hopeful the raw numbers. The filter example. "Kill every runner who has won more than 90% of the races" Or: "Kill all the runners who finished second in the last race." There are literally thousands of filters can dream to improve the Raw Ratings.

some completely unnecessary, while others can seriously improve your results. Before applying the filter, you need to have enough data to prove a conclusion. I found using five filters can increase the strike rate of about 3% to 4%. This does not sound like much, but it makes a huge difference. At the end of an average month, winning almost exactly the same amount in dollars or pounds than raw numbers. But I was only about one-third as many choices; However, the return on investment is tripled,

Average monthly return of 100 Stake Raw numbers

Strike Rate 83.9% – 524 Selections – Average Profit 7633 -13.7% Return

average monthly return is £ 100 Bet filtered raw numbers

Strike Rate 87.9% – 160 Selections – average Profit 6400 – 38.2% yield

As you can see, the strike price improves some points and eliminating unnecessary choice that can actually triple the minimum bet. Again, it must be very careful when they screened a wide base was raw numbers. After the strike rate of 83.9% over 1000 races is much more effective than a strike rate of 87.9%, more than 100 species.

I fell into the trap myself over filtering. At one time, I was using more than 30 different filters. Short-term success was fantastic, but the numbers will catch up if not careful. Take your time, do your research and trust the numbers.

Source by Steve Arthur

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *